Reports
UK heading towards five years of lost economic growth
This report from UK think tank NIESR provides a quarterly economic forecast of the UK economy. Despite continuing to expect the United Kingdom to steer clear of a recession in 2023, GDP is projected to grow barely by 0.4 per cent this year and by 0.3 per cent in 2024, with the outlook remaining highly...
Peaked interest
This report from UK think tank Resolution Foundation looks at what higher interest rates mean for the size and distribution of Britain's household wealth. Over the past four decades, the total value of wealth owned by UK households has been on a seemingly-relentless upward path: rising from around three-times GDP in the mid 1980s to...
Sharing the benefits
This report from UK think tank Resolution Foundation looks at whether Britain can secure broadly shared prosperity. The UK has been living through a period of relative decline that has proved toxic for those on low-to-middle incomes. Against that backdrop, this report examines whether there is still a plausible path to steadily rising shared prosperity...
Beyond boosterism
This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation looks at realigning the policy ecosystem to unleash private investment for sustainable growth. The UK is a low investment nation. Low business investment is a big driver of this. Low investment is one reason behind the UK’s weak productivity growth, which in turn is the main...
The language of freedom
This report from UK think tank the Centre for Policy Studies maps the British public’s attitudes to the Big Six national priorities. We are all obsessed with which party is getting what share of the vote- both now and the next UK polling day – but what are the fundamental values driving British public opinion?...
The mortgage crunch
This report from UK think tank Resolution Foundation looks at how much annual repayments are set to rise for those re-mortgaging. Recent signs that inflation is proving ‘stickier’ than hoped has raised the prospect of even more rate rises from Bank of England, and a deeper mortgage crunch for households. Higher than expected inflation and...
Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker – May 2023
This report from UK think tank the David Hume Institute looks at the economic outlook for Scots. The most recent data from the David Hume Institute and Diffley Partnership’s regular economy tracker reveals a mixed picture of public opinion on the economy. The economic outlook from Scots remains bleak with 62% thinking that general economic...
How can devolution deliver regional growth in England?
This report from UK think tank the Institute for Government looks at where devolution of policy responsibilities would be most beneficial. This report sets out where devolution of policy responsibilities would be most beneficial. It finds that international evidence on the link between devolution and economic performance is inconclusive at best and regional growth is...
UK economy beset by sluggish growth and high inflation
This report from UK think tank NIESR provides a quarterly economic forecast of the UK economy. This quarterly economic forecast of the UK economy, from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, predicts that sluggish growth and high inflation will continue to beset the IK economy. Because of these persistent problems it identifies that...
Open for business
This report from UK think tank the Centre for Progressive Policy looks at unlocking investment in low-earning economies. Analysis by CPP in its new report, Open for Business, identifies 95 'pockets of potential' – hotspots of highly productive local industry across eight sectors based in 72 underperforming local economies. CPP estimates that if the areas...
All cylinders
This report from UK think tank the Centre for Cities looks at why the urban economies essential for driving growth are underperforming. This report shows that the Midlands Engine plays a large role in the UK economy, however its economy is £18 billion per year smaller than it should be. Accounting for 89 per cent...
Building a resilient social care system in England
This report from UK think tank the Nuffield Trust highlights progress and identifies where action is needed to create a more resilient social care system. Social care in England entered the pandemic in a fragile state. With much already written about the government’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic in the social care sector, our new...
Reindustrialising the United Kingdom
This report from UK think tank NIESR looks at the UK's lagging productivity growth since the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The UK’s lagging productivity growth since the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis, together with a renewed focus on ‘Levelling Up’ to address regional inequalities and rebalance the economy has led to calls for the UK to reindustrialise....
Is trust an undervalued ingredient of a thriving economy?
This report from UK think tank the David Hume Institute looks at the role that trust can play in strengthening the economy. Labour market disputes, concerns about public contracts and declining trust in government and institutions have risen up the news agenda in recent times. All of these things impact on our economy but the...
Fiscal devolution
This report from UK think tank New Local looks at why we need fiscal devolution and how to make it work. Despite localised revenue-raising powers being the norm in many countries, it has long been viewed as far too radical in the UK. But now, policymakers are beginning to recognise the value of letting local...