Education recovery and resilience in England: Phase two report

Think tank: Education Policy Institute

Author(s): Various Authors

October 21, 2021

This report from UK think tank the Education Policy Institute looks at the long-run impact of the pandemic on future earnings.

This report models the long-run impact of the pandemic on future earnings, finding that pupils are each likely lose at least £16,000 in earnings, rising to £46,000 in a worst-case scenario if the government fails to intervene. Taken together, it finds that losses to earnings would result in total lost national income running into the hundreds of billions – leading to substantial reductions in contributions to public services, and lower productivity and economic growth. The new report highlights the regional disparities in the amount of learning lost by pupils – differences that are yet to be addressed under current education recovery plans. The report also considers the future of the National Tutoring Programme (NTP) – the government’s flagship programme for helping pupils to catch up with pandemic learning loss.