This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation puts the Spring Forecast in context. This briefing note sets out how a mix of benign fiscal developments and concerning economic trends leaves the Government on track to meet its fiscal rules following the 2026 Spring Forecast, but with little resilience to shocks. The OBR’s numbers...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation examines what the Government's energy bill discount means for households and what comes next. Next week, Ofgem is expected to announce that the Q2 2026 energy price cap will be nearly £120 below current levels. This reduction is overwhelmingly driven by the Government’s energy bill discount,...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation assesses the economic and fiscal outlook based on news since the Autumn Budget. In this slide pack we preview the upcoming Spring Forecast, assessing the economic and fiscal outlook based on news since the Autumn Budget. Stepping back, growth remains weak, households cautious, and the labour...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation paints a portrait of the poorer half of the country's population. The 13 million working-age families across the poorer half of the country are widely courted by politicians. No party can win elections without their votes, and the country cannot succeed without their needs being met....

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation assesses the UK’s progress toward net zero in the land use and agriculture sector. This report provides an assessment of the UK’s progress toward net zero in the land use and agriculture sector – the only major area where emissions have barely fallen over the past...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation looks at how the nuts and bolts of the Universal Credit system could be improved. April 2026 will mark a true milestone for the UK benefits system: the end of the thirteen-year rollout of Universal Credit (UC) that has brought together all means-tested working-age benefits. From...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation examines the Government’s Warm Homes Plan. January 2026 saw the eventual release of the Warm Homes Plan, delivering on a flagship election pledge that the Government expects will make up to five million homes cheaper to keep warm. With a healthy £15 billion budget, the Plan...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation assesses the UK’s growth challenge 18 months into the new parliament. This report assesses the UK’s growth challenge 18 months into the new Parliament, examining how economic performance has evolved since the pandemic and evaluating the Government’s progress against its central mission to raise growth and...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation looks back at developments in 2025 and what they mean for the economy in 2026 and beyond. What a difference a year doesn’t make. This time last year the Government had just announced huge tax rises, having previously said they weren’t coming; trade wonks were wondering...

This report from UK think tank the Resolution Foundation discusses the labour market outlook in the final quarter of 2025. Employment has fallen over the past two years and is substantially lower than it was before the pandemic. Perhaps surprisingly given its central place in policy debates, participation is essentially unchanged compared to pre-pandemic: rising...